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This recession is deeper and longer than the GFC

18/09/2025

New Zealand’s recession is deeper and longer than past downturns, driven by high interest rates, falling investment and shrinking household spending power. Shamubeel Eaqub argues urgent policy action is needed to stabilise the economy and prepare for recovery.

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Recent updates

What does retail spending in NZ tell us?

Published 25/11/2024

Kiwis are still doing it tough. They're being more careful with their spending, and money doesn't go as far. According to Shamubeel, this can be explained by three broad factors.

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The changing face of renting

Published 22/11/2024

566,000 households were renting in 2023—that's one-third of all New Zealand households. However, gaps in regulation and inconsistent standards highlight the need for better oversight to ensure quality experiences for both renters and landlords.

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Corporate insolvencies have spiked to new highs

Published 15/11/2024

The recent spike in corporate insolvencies reflects the toll of the current recession on many businesses in New Zealand. While challenges remain, tentative signs of resilience and recovery are emerging, offering hope for better economic conditions ahead.

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Dealing with change: What Trump's election win means for NZ

Published 07/11/2024

The US has elected Donald Trump as president. What does this mean for NZ? It means dealing with change. Chief Economist, Shamubeel Eaqub, shares his insights on how this leadership transition could impact our economy.

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Inflation woes: encouraging headlines vs. feeling poorer

Published 05/11/2024

Inflation might be cooling down, but it’s still leaving a chill on household budgets. Check out the latest data and what it all means according to our Chief Economist Shamubeel Eaqub.

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Preparing for future generations

Published 28/10/2024

Preparing for future generations requires tough choices today to ensure sustainability tomorrow. Listen to Shamubeel's podcast conversation with Dr. Nina Su on navigating intergenerational equity and building a better future for New Zealand.

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How do small regions cope with unexpected population growth?

Published 25/10/2024

Rotorua's population growth since 2014 has boosted jobs, with employment outpacing population gains, but housing supply has lagged, leading to a significant shortfall. Improved housing coordination is essential to address demand and support sustainable growth.

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KiwiSaver is great, but it can be better

Published 21/10/2024

KiwiSaver has transformed savings in New Zealand, with $116 billion saved by 2024 and potential to exceed $3 trillion in 20 years. To unlock its full potential, there are three key things we could do.

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